9/19/2007

A follow through day after the explosive rally across the indices yesterday on Fed cut. From a technical standpoint, Nasdaq has confirmed breakout from a multi head-n-shoulder bottom. A strong reversal chart with decent volumes on the breakout days (yesterday and today). Since OE is this Fri, a pullback to the breakout level (around 2655) will not be surprising. Plus there is a gap up this morning -- NAZ usually doesn't leave gap behind. That gap can be bought a a "buy on re-test" area.

I'm currently fully loaded with leaders such as ISRG, AAPL, GRMN, CMI and AMZN (Oct OTM calls). My strategy here is "doing nothing". I'll simply hold on to these positions and let them run into next week. From the NAZ chart, I read that after the break out is re-tested, there is not much resistance until 2720 area. That's another 2% for the market. The tech leaders that recently made or flirted with new highs should gain much more than that. SIT TIGHT, that's what I'll be reminding myself whenever an intra-day dip happens.

With regard to individual positions, AAPL and ISRG have the strongest weekly charts -- not very far from the 10ma, and decently consolidated for several weeks. CMI might be a little extended. GRMN is probably the weakest -- rising wedge on declining volume. I shall cut GRMN without hesitation when it breaks below my cost. Others I shall hold on to.

The junk stock, CRDC, has dried out on its volume and got pretty darn close to a "dead end" -- the end of the bullish wedge. I'm looking for it to stand above 11 in no more than 3 trading days.